Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1011.353538 1150.301294 1306.615506 1496.515187 1722.344623 1984.011684 2312.616234
2025-05-04 802.700861 983.284708 1206.696738 1507.626182 1908.937102 2435.331996 3194.600925
2025-05-11 688.452480 884.125368 1141.578545 1513.219948 2049.970360 2820.274626 4054.929229
2025-05-18 625.339120 834.564224 1124.186868 1567.482459 2253.719913 3321.466451 5210.318816
2025-05-25 574.766295 791.999649 1105.818533 1610.925752 2442.084442 3833.578535 6534.458246
2025-06-01 528.215438 747.606425 1076.179267 1628.429909 2587.291026 4302.266438 7932.504152
2025-06-08 486.659196 704.834859 1041.963484 1630.618356 2703.162229 4741.629351 9426.933192
2025-06-15 458.721218 679.303837 1030.672228 1667.719575 2886.039090 5350.809521 11533.615122
2025-06-22 417.407251 628.054991 971.041071 1610.233994 2877.417273 5565.294573 12784.047696
2025-06-29 382.898230 584.533946 919.490029 1559.762466 2872.469304 5785.046406 14145.744926
2025-07-06 351.411564 543.248377 867.540274 1501.422932 2840.493381 5934.939448 15382.907488
2025-07-13 341.251816 536.954192 876.056966 1560.391735 3070.101032 6774.889575 19198.793969
2025-07-20 325.436238 520.039272 864.637209 1580.077379 3221.391636 7478.490417 23091.568920
2025-07-27 309.955808 502.481310 850.403559 1592.413188 3359.854727 8199.701048 27636.084207
2025-08-03 295.221836 484.963632 834.352156 1598.387669 3484.069973 8924.877092 32843.761475
2025-08-10 287.705382 479.920510 841.697417 1656.526345 3754.778863 10208.177783 42031.268073
2025-08-17 279.407139 472.672225 843.834028 1703.098197 4006.381573 11541.850849 53271.393069
2025-08-24 268.942436 460.456452 834.670007 1721.869291 4185.333518 12704.195814 65287.107539
2025-08-31 257.768076 446.024141 819.558415 1724.216391 4317.656800 13757.241920 78429.282210
2025-09-07 250.721011 439.116528 819.571505 1764.015830 4574.876264 15453.061701 100368.713701
2025-09-14 235.711432 415.404689 781.596303 1702.356445 4497.125217 15673.026693 109453.896345
2025-09-21 222.438838 394.401626 747.967390 1648.252752 4434.589144 15948.481934 120032.815689
2025-09-28 209.448011 373.255503 712.566893 1585.753520 4333.092793 16009.054482 128684.854178